Sottotitolo:
Today it should be the moment to think in terms of natural gas, the fuel with almost no exhaust, if compared with any other fuel, and therefore the best instrument to organise an orderly passage to the future energy systems.
When the problem of the atmospheric pollution came to general attention, the solution seemed to be simple. Produce electricity from wind or from the heat of the sun, both systems that can actually produce electricity without any pollution, but with limitations: only during the day, one, and when the wind is up, the other. The surplus energy produced when demand is low should be stored, to use it during the peak of demand. However, storing electricity is not easy, and it might be very costly.
At that time, the price of oil was quite high, and the new plants, built with a lot of money from the State, were in fact competitive. After few years, the fall of crude oil price created a complex situation .The answers to this new situation were quite different. The oil companies started reducing not only the budget for investment but also the investments in the downstream, that is, refining and distribution. The consumers were quite pleased and thought to pay less for gasoline, and for the electricity in the house, but their expectations were very soon deluded. The State in its various expressions increased its take, so that the fiscal take reached 67% of the price of gasoline and 62 % for gasoil ; moreover the prices seem to change every day.
The new antipollution entrepreneurs took the opportunity and pressured the State to give them a strong support. So, the only ones who got an advantage from the low price of oil were the investors in the "renewable" sources of energy. On the other side, the sellers of crude oil have not yet defined a stable strategy , with the only exception of the Saudi , who follow their own précepte: “ keep control on the crude oil market “ and seem to be quite happy with it. On the other side , there are those who try to find the optimal mix of energy sources ,which would reduce the problem of the atmosphere without having to pay for high prices. Some of them, the ones that started the whole story are now quite disappointed of the limited increase of demand for oil and oil products. Actually, the effort to reduce pollution has not reached the task that were promised, and the permanent use by Germany of its coal and peat does not allow reaching the reduction promised.
The low price of oil has reduced and in some case cancelled many privileged position. It seems difficult now to base the energy structure of Europe on “renewables” plants for electric power that are already non competitive, given the price of oil products. There has been in Europe an excessive interest in electricity, when a great quantity of energy comes from engines which do not run on electricity. Natural gas is used immediately, does not need to be refined, and can be used equally as energy for a motor car and for an industrial plant. Today should be the moment to think in terms of natural gas, the fuel with almost no exhaust, if compared with any other fuel, and therefore the best instrument to organise an orderly passage to the future energy systems.
In Europe the question is quite open, and the discussion is quite general. Each country has his own structure of demand and supply of energy and no general recipe seems to be applicable to all members , although there are common structures, like the network of natural gas pipelines. Europe has already a huge gas system, as large as that of electricity. The network of gas pipes moves huge volumes of gas produced in Europe, imported from Russia and Africa, and also volumes that come from the sea , a mode of Natural gas is not only a perfect for combustion , it also can explode in an engine with , of course, a small adjustment in the engine transport that is getting quicker and cheaper.
As natural gas produces the minimum level of fumes in respect to any other combustion, a sound decision would be to start now with the best fuel available, natural gas, and progress to the point in the future in which all fuels , gas included, will be no more necessary. The substitution of gas to all other fuel would be quite relevant for the motor car. Running with gas is much cheaper than gasoline or gasoil, and the gas cars produce almost zero pollution. A general campaign should be launched to convert cars to natural gas, which should be the only cars allowed to circulate in the cities. That could be done at least in Italy, a country that has already a large number of gas cars and has a distribution network which could service many more cars.
The European network of gas pipelines is comparable to that of electricity but it has one great advantage. Electricity cannot really be stored, while gas can be fed back in gas fields that have produced all their gas, and are used as underground deposit, a normal operation to stock gas during the summer, to be used in winter. This possibility to fill with gas the areas exhausted reduces the overall cost of the system. Of course, Europe would have to define a strategy with its suppliers. New agreements should define not only the price, but also the guarantee of the supply of the volume of gas agreed on a long term basis.
This needs not to become a straight jacket, as supply to Europe may come from US , given the new rich discoveries of natural gas there, nd from Africa with its rich new discovery : that gas might have been considered for the Chinese market , but could easily be rerouted to Europe’s market, and the surplus of natural gas at present existing in the USA might easily become a supply for Europe. The cost of transport may be reduced by technical developments that are in fact almost ready. In Italy that would mean a new campaign to discover the gas reservoirs still not explored, especially in the Adriatic Sea, where the forecasts of the experts are quite optimistic. Italy should mobilize all possible reserves of gas which might develop rapidly, and reduce its cost of energy.